Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Sheahan 50.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Sheahan leads 27-16 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Sheahan 79.1%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 90.5%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 80.3%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 82.6%
17.4%
82.6%
Stastny
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
27
(43 meetings)
16
27
Stastny
Sheahan
Last 10: Stastny 3-7 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
6
7
Stastny
Sheahan
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
3
8
Stastny
Sheahan
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
7
12
Stastny
Sheahan
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
51.0% (4,968)
+3.6%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
55.6% (322)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
44.3% (1,068)
+8.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Sheahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,993).
Home / Away
Stastny
Sheahan
Home
55.9% (7,073)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Stastny
Sheahan
P1
56.3%
51.3%
P2
55.4%
51.2%
P3
53.5%
48.1%
OT
62.9%
35.6%
Final 5 min
55.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 12:03 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 11:57 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 26, 2020 | 2 | 15:03 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 26, 2020 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 26, 2020 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |