Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 43 meetings). Stastny wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 76-71 in 147 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 61.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 50.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 57.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Stastny
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
76
-
71
(147 meetings)
76
71
Stastny
Getzlaf
Last 10: Stastny 6-4 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
27
16
Stastny
Getzlaf
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
24
25
Stastny
Getzlaf
49 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
25
30
Stastny
Getzlaf
55 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
49.6% (10,258)
+5.0%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
54.9% (1,381)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
44.8% (1,055)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Stastny shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Home / Away
Stastny
Getzlaf
Home
55.9% (7,073)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Stastny
Getzlaf
P1
56.3%
49.2%
P2
55.4%
50.4%
P3
53.5%
49.7%
OT
62.9%
49.1%
Final 5 min
55.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 04:24 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 11:32 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 27, 2019 | 1 | 08:29 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 3 | 00:26 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 4, 2019 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |