Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Getzlaf 53.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 68.9%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 58.7%
Neutral zone
Stastny 60.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Stastny
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Stastny
Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
0
Stastny
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
52.5% (772)
+6.7%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
60.8% (153)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
48.0% (100)
+3.7%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Stastny shoots left. Getzlaf is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Stastny
Getzlaf
Home
57.7% (215)
56.0% (557)
Away
55.6% (257)
50.0% (468)
By Period
Stastny
Getzlaf
P1
57.7%
52.2%
P2
54.2%
53.0%
P3
57.7%
54.9%
OT
60.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
57.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 03:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |