Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stastny wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.6% vs Getzlaf 49.4% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 57.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 87.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 83.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Stastny
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Stastny
Getzlaf
Last 10: Stastny 7-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
2
Stastny
Getzlaf
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
1
Stastny
Getzlaf
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
0
Stastny
Getzlaf
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (967)
48.1% (939)
+8.4%
Power Play
58.4% (125)
56.8% (222)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (128)
41.4% (58)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Stastny is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Stastny shoots left. Getzlaf is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Home / Away
Stastny
Getzlaf
Home
56.8% (590)
49.4% (591)
Away
55.4% (630)
49.4% (628)
By Period
Stastny
Getzlaf
P1
59.7%
50.0%
P2
54.8%
47.4%
P3
53.8%
50.6%
OT
60.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 16:46 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2016 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 01:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 8, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |