Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stastny wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Getzlaf 50.3% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 74.1%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 76.5%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 74.8%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 74.6%
25.4%
74.6%
Stastny
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Stastny
Getzlaf
Last 10: Stastny 3-7 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
3
Stastny
Getzlaf
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Stastny
Getzlaf
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
3
Stastny
Getzlaf
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (1,004)
50.1% (895)
+5.3%
Power Play
59.0% (210)
61.0% (59)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (196)
43.1% (58)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Stastny is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (579).
Stastny shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Stastny
Getzlaf
Home
56.5% (717)
52.0% (465)
Away
55.0% (693)
48.8% (547)
By Period
Stastny
Getzlaf
P1
56.7%
48.3%
P2
57.7%
51.4%
P3
52.1%
51.5%
OT
100.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
59.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2017 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 15, 2017 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |