Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Gomez 49.7% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 57.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 83.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 77.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Stastny
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stastny
Gomez
Last 8: Stastny 5-3 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
1
Stastny
Gomez
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Gomez
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stastny
Gomez
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,136)
50.4% (270)
+4.6%
Power Play
57.5% (200)
50.0% (50)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
25.0% (4)
+28.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Stastny shoots left. Gomez is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Stastny
Gomez
Home
58.5% (744)
48.3% (178)
Away
52.1% (680)
51.0% (155)
By Period
Stastny
Gomez
P1
57.9%
52.3%
P2
54.9%
47.0%
P3
53.0%
50.0%
OT
72.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 04:51 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |