Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Gomez 48.2% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 62.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 84.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 80.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Stastny
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Stastny
Gomez
Last 10: Stastny 5-5 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
2
6
Stastny
Gomez
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
0
Stastny
Gomez
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
2
Stastny
Gomez
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
47.9% (2,814)
+6.7%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
50.6% (516)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
36.5% (74)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Gomez is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,196).
Home / Away
Stastny
Gomez
Home
55.9% (7,073)
49.8% (1,767)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
46.3% (1,667)
By Period
Stastny
Gomez
P1
56.3%
48.6%
P2
55.4%
48.2%
P3
53.5%
47.5%
OT
62.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 26, 2013 | OT | 00:59 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 12:21 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 19:21 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 13:37 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 1 | 04:51 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2010 | 1 | 11:14 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |