Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 36 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Crosby 53.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 54-52 in 106 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 67.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 58.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 55.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Stastny
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
54
-
52
(106 meetings)
54
52
Stastny
Crosby
Last 10: Stastny 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
10
26
Stastny
Crosby
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
21
14
Stastny
Crosby
35 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
23
12
Stastny
Crosby
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
52.8% (17,990)
+1.8%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
57.4% (4,733)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
47.1% (765)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Stastny
Crosby
Home
55.9% (7,073)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Stastny
Crosby
P1
56.3%
53.6%
P2
55.4%
53.9%
P3
53.5%
53.3%
OT
62.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
55.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 04:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |