Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stastny wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Crosby 52.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 50.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 60.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 51.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Stastny
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Stastny
Crosby
Last 10: Stastny 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
1
Stastny
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Stastny
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Stastny
Crosby
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
52.5% (1,443)
+5.0%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
54.7% (369)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
55.9% (34)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Stastny shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Stastny
Crosby
Home
58.3% (276)
53.0% (931)
Away
56.7% (210)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Stastny
Crosby
P1
63.7%
50.3%
P2
57.3%
55.4%
P3
50.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
56.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 11:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 05:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:37 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 08:01 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 04:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |