Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.7% vs 55.4%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.2% vs Crosby 55.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 57.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 69.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 64.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Stastny
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Stastny
Crosby
Last 6: Stastny 1-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Stastny
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Stastny
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (657)
54.7% (1,423)
-1.9%
Power Play
61.0% (118)
62.1% (327)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (72)
40.8% (76)
+20.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Stastny shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,229).
Home / Away
Stastny
Crosby
Home
53.0% (464)
56.2% (907)
Away
56.7% (383)
54.6% (919)
By Period
Stastny
Crosby
P1
47.9%
55.7%
P2
59.6%
55.0%
P3
54.9%
54.9%
OT
55.6%
70.4%
Final 5 min
57.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 19:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |