Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 55.6%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.4% vs Crosby 55.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 50.4%
Defensive zone
Stastny 77.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 57.6%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Stastny
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Stastny
Crosby
Last 5: Stastny 0-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Stastny
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Stastny
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (859)
55.9% (676)
-2.3%
Power Play
59.9% (202)
56.7% (171)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (78)
46.3% (41)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Stastny shoots left. Crosby is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (532).
Home / Away
Stastny
Crosby
Home
56.9% (596)
57.7% (454)
Away
52.5% (543)
53.5% (434)
By Period
Stastny
Crosby
P1
53.9%
55.9%
P2
56.2%
53.0%
P3
54.4%
57.7%
OT
53.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |