Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Weiss on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Weiss shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Weiss 53.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Weiss leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Weiss 72.3%
Defensive zone
Weiss 71.5%
Neutral zone
Weiss 70.8%
Result
Stephen Weiss favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Stastny
Weiss
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Stastny
Weiss
Last 10: Stastny 4-6 Weiss
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
2
4
Stastny
Weiss
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Weiss
2
6
Stastny
Weiss
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weiss
1
2
Stastny
Weiss
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Weiss
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
53.0% (2,521)
+1.6%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
54.6% (560)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
49.4% (245)
+3.5%
On power play, Stastny has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weiss shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Weiss is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,175).
Home / Away
Stastny
Weiss
Home
55.9% (7,073)
54.7% (1,745)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
51.3% (1,657)
By Period
Stastny
Weiss
P1
56.3%
53.5%
P2
55.4%
54.2%
P3
53.5%
52.2%
OT
62.9%
44.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Weiss
46.0%▼
56.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 03:25 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 17:36 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Stephen Weiss |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Stephen Weiss |