Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pearson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Pearson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.6% vs Pearson 49.7% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pearson 63.1%
Defensive zone
Stastny 62.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 51.3%
Result
Tanner Pearson favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Stastny
Pearson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Stastny
Pearson
Last 6: Stastny 3-3 Pearson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pearson
0
3
Stastny
Pearson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
0
Stastny
Pearson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Pearson
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (1,130)
46.2% (52)
+8.6%
Power Play
59.1% (235)
52.6% (19)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (150)
100.0% (2)
-50.7%
On penalty kill, Pearson has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pearson shoots left. Stastny is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Stastny shoots left. Pearson is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Stastny
Pearson
Home
55.5% (803)
50.0% (38)
Away
54.2% (712)
48.6% (35)
By Period
Stastny
Pearson
P1
57.4%
41.9%
P2
52.5%
47.6%
P3
54.3%
57.9%
OT
69.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Pearson
24.0%▼
31.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Tanner Pearson |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Tanner Pearson |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Tanner Pearson |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |