Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Pearson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Pearson 39.2% (+19.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pearson 66.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 74.1%
Neutral zone
Stastny 54.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Stastny
Pearson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stastny
Pearson
Last 9: Stastny 4-5 Pearson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pearson
0
3
Stastny
Pearson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
0
Stastny
Pearson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pearson
0
2
Stastny
Pearson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Pearson
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
34.1% (232)
+20.5%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
44.4% (72)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
26.3% (19)
+26.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pearson shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Pearson is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Stastny
Pearson
Home
55.9% (7,073)
32.7% (165)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
39.2% (158)
By Period
Stastny
Pearson
P1
56.3%
40.4%
P2
55.4%
33.0%
P3
53.5%
34.9%
OT
62.9%
27.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
32.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Pearson
24.0%▼
31.0%
35.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2021 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Tanner Pearson |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Tanner Pearson |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Tanner Pearson |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Tanner Pearson |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 11:07 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Tanner Pearson |