Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stastny wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Blueger 51.7% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 91.3%
Defensive zone
Blueger 83.0%
Neutral zone
Blueger 53.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Stastny
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Stastny
Blueger
Last 10: Stastny 4-6 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
0
Stastny
Blueger
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
3
Stastny
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Stastny
Blueger
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
54.1% (425)
+3.4%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
100.0% (6)
-40.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
43.8% (144)
+0.6%
On power play, Blueger has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Stastny shoots left. Blueger is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Stastny
Blueger
Home
58.3% (276)
52.5% (282)
Away
56.7% (210)
51.5% (293)
By Period
Stastny
Blueger
P1
63.7%
49.2%
P2
57.3%
57.2%
P3
50.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
56.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |