Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchant on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 53.0% vs Marchant 48.3% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 56.9%
Defensive zone
Marchant 81.2%
Neutral zone
Marchant 59.2%
Result
Todd Marchant favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Stastny
Marchant
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Stastny
Marchant
Last 9: Stastny 3-6 Marchant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Marchant
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marchant
0
5
Stastny
Marchant
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
0
Stastny
Marchant
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,107)
50.5% (368)
+1.7%
Power Play
61.0% (254)
28.6% (7)
+32.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (138)
42.4% (158)
+4.0%
On power play, Stastny has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. Stastny is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,059).
Stastny shoots left. Marchant is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Stastny
Marchant
Home
52.5% (785)
50.3% (302)
Away
53.9% (739)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Stastny
Marchant
P1
51.3%
46.3%
P2
55.2%
49.7%
P3
52.6%
48.1%
OT
62.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 01:35 | Offensive | Todd Marchant |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |