Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stastny wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Wingels shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Wingels 44.4% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 94.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 92.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 93.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 93.4%
93.4%
6.6%
Stastny
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Stastny
Wingels
Last 10: Stastny 7-3 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
2
Stastny
Wingels
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
1
Stastny
Wingels
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
0
Stastny
Wingels
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
44.2% (871)
+10.4%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
43.2% (74)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
41.3% (109)
+11.6%
On power play, Stastny has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Stastny shoots left. Wingels is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Stastny
Wingels
Home
55.9% (7,073)
44.4% (462)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
43.4% (592)
By Period
Stastny
Wingels
P1
56.3%
45.1%
P2
55.4%
40.9%
P3
53.5%
46.0%
OT
62.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2017 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 18, 2017 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 3 | 06:39 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |