Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Stastny wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Lewis 43.2% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 26-5 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 96.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 96.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 95.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 96.2%
96.2%
3.8%
Stastny
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
5
(31 meetings)
26
5
Stastny
Lewis
Last 10: Stastny 9-1 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
10
3
Stastny
Lewis
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
9
1
Stastny
Lewis
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
7
1
Stastny
Lewis
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
43.2% (2,347)
+11.4%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
51.9% (108)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
38.6% (365)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Stastny shoots left. Lewis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Stastny
Lewis
Home
55.9% (7,073)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Stastny
Lewis
P1
56.3%
42.8%
P2
55.4%
43.9%
P3
53.5%
41.9%
OT
62.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 02:02 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 13, 2019 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 13:58 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 07:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 06:22 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |