Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 59.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 56.3% vs Lewis 44.3% (+15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 92.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 80.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 83.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Stastny
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Stastny
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
0
Stastny
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (412)
41.8% (251)
+15.7%
Power Play
60.0% (65)
45.5% (11)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
44.7% (47)
-0.3%
On even strength, Stastny has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Stastny shoots left. Lewis is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Stastny
Lewis
Home
58.3% (276)
39.2% (166)
Away
56.7% (210)
46.2% (143)
By Period
Stastny
Lewis
P1
63.7%
45.2%
P2
57.3%
43.8%
P3
50.4%
37.8%
Final 5 min
56.0%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:20 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 02:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |