Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 62.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 57.3% vs Lewis 45.5% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 61.6%
Defensive zone
Stastny 73.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 70.9%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Stastny
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stastny
Lewis
Last 5: Stastny 3-2 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stastny
Lewis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (959)
43.0% (158)
+14.6%
Power Play
60.8% (125)
37.5% (8)
+23.3%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (74)
45.5% (11)
+12.6%
On power play, Stastny has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Stastny is 62.0% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Stastny shoots left. Lewis is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Stastny
Lewis
Home
55.9% (590)
50.0% (92)
Away
60.0% (568)
35.3% (85)
By Period
Stastny
Lewis
P1
59.6%
44.6%
P2
59.0%
41.1%
P3
55.3%
43.1%
Final 5 min
65.1%
32.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 18, 2014 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 11:20 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |