Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Stastny wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Bozak 53.4% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 45-26 in 71 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 59.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 53.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 63.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Stastny
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
26
(71 meetings)
45
26
Stastny
Bozak
Last 10: Stastny 7-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
16
11
Stastny
Bozak
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
18
12
Stastny
Bozak
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
11
3
Stastny
Bozak
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
53.7% (9,596)
+0.9%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
55.2% (1,990)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
48.0% (1,094)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Stastny shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Stastny
Bozak
Home
55.9% (7,073)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Stastny
Bozak
P1
56.3%
53.2%
P2
55.4%
52.8%
P3
53.5%
54.5%
OT
62.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
55.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 07:58 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 10:54 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 4, 2017 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |