Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Bozak 46.2% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 87.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 56.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 78.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Stastny
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Stastny
Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
0
Stastny
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
46.7% (338)
+12.5%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
50.0% (6)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
32.6% (43)
+19.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Stastny shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Stastny
Bozak
Home
57.7% (215)
47.9% (194)
Away
55.6% (257)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Stastny
Bozak
P1
57.7%
40.2%
P2
54.2%
51.4%
P3
57.7%
43.1%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |