Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 33 meetings). Stastny wins 58.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Seguin 53.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 68-48 in 116 meetings
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Stastny
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
68
-
48
(116 meetings)
68
48
Stastny
Seguin
Last 10: Stastny 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
24
9
Stastny
Seguin
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
22
24
Stastny
Seguin
46 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
22
15
Stastny
Seguin
37 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
53.7% (8,071)
+0.9%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
55.9% (810)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
49.3% (762)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Stastny shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Stastny
Seguin
Home
55.9% (7,073)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Stastny
Seguin
P1
56.3%
52.8%
P2
55.4%
53.3%
P3
53.5%
54.7%
OT
62.9%
54.7%
Final 5 min
55.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:54 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 06:59 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |