Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.6% vs 56.0%). Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Stastny wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Seguin 55.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 56.1%
Defensive zone
Seguin 56.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 55.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Stastny
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stastny
Seguin
Last 8: Stastny 5-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
0
Stastny
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
2
Stastny
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Stastny
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (370)
56.5% (712)
+2.7%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
59.7% (67)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (58)
44.9% (49)
+6.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Stastny shoots left. Seguin is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Stastny
Seguin
Home
57.7% (215)
58.5% (402)
Away
55.6% (257)
53.8% (426)
By Period
Stastny
Seguin
P1
57.7%
58.4%
P2
54.2%
54.7%
P3
57.7%
54.1%
OT
60.0%
72.7%
Final 5 min
57.5%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |