Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.1% vs 55.6%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stastny wins 62.2% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.6% vs Seguin 55.0% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 60.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 69.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 61.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Stastny
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Stastny
Seguin
Last 10: Stastny 8-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
0
Stastny
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
2
Stastny
Seguin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
1
Stastny
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (967)
55.9% (789)
+0.6%
Power Play
58.4% (125)
52.1% (48)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (128)
44.4% (9)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stastny is 62.2% vs right-shot opponents (455).
Stastny shoots left. Seguin is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Stastny
Seguin
Home
56.8% (590)
57.3% (382)
Away
55.4% (630)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Stastny
Seguin
P1
59.7%
55.1%
P2
54.8%
57.5%
P3
53.8%
53.7%
OT
60.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
55.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | OT | 01:09 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 05:24 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 03:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2015 | 1 | 00:35 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 11:09 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |