Justin Hryckowian vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Hryckowian holds a +18.9% FO% edge overall. Hryckowian wins 62.1% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hryckowian 54.6% vs Buchnevich 42.1% (+18.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hryckowian 77.2%
Defensive zone
Hryckowian 93.4%
Neutral zone
Hryckowian 89.4%
Result
Justin Hryckowian favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
Last 5: Hryckowian 4-1 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
2
0
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hryckowian
2
0
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (214)
37.7% (154)
+21.6%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
42.9% (14)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
30.0% (10)
+0.8%
On even strength, Hryckowian has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Hryckowian is 62.1% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Hryckowian shoots left. Buchnevich is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
Home
58.1% (129)
37.4% (91)
Away
54.6% (119)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Hryckowian
Buchnevich
P1
49.3%
38.9%
P2
65.4%
31.5%
P3
52.2%
42.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hryckowian
52.0%▼
56.0%
56.5%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 03:58 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |