Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Buchnevich wins 32.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 36.3% vs Strome 44.4% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 56.1%
Defensive zone
Buchnevich 54.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 55.9%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Buchnevich
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Buchnevich
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Buchnevich
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
2
0
Buchnevich
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
28.6% (192)
43.0% (788)
-14.4%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
47.9% (96)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
50.0% (34)
-19.2%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Buchnevich is 32.1% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Buchnevich shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Strome
Home
30.4% (112)
42.6% (486)
Away
29.4% (102)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Buchnevich
Strome
P1
27.7%
41.0%
P2
33.3%
47.8%
P3
27.7%
42.1%
Final 5 min
33.3%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
29.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |