Scouting Report
Trevor Lewis holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Buchnevich wins 34.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 41.5% vs Lewis 44.4% (-5.2%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 54.8%
Defensive zone
Lewis 54.9%
Neutral zone
Lewis 53.3%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Buchnevich
Lewis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
37.6% (197)
45.7% (210)
-8.1%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
71.4% (7)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
33.7% (95)
-33.7%
On penalty kill, Lewis has a +33.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Buchnevich is 34.4% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Buchnevich shoots left. Lewis is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Lewis
Home
43.0% (114)
48.8% (166)
Away
30.4% (92)
35.6% (146)
By Period
Buchnevich
Lewis
P1
40.0%
37.9%
P2
35.7%
46.7%
P3
35.7%
42.7%
Final 5 min
48.9%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.4%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.6%