Pavel Buchnevich vs Wyatt Johnston
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Buchnevich wins 36.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 35.4% vs Johnston 49.1% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 67.3%
Defensive zone
Johnston 62.3%
Neutral zone
Johnston 51.7%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Buchnevich
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Buchnevich
Johnston
Last 7: Buchnevich 3-4 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Buchnevich
Johnston
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Buchnevich
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Buchnevich
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
33.7% (895)
49.3% (2,189)
-15.6%
Power Play
44.2% (52)
52.6% (173)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
24.3% (37)
44.7% (237)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.1% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Buchnevich shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,967).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Johnston
Home
34.7% (490)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
33.2% (494)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
Buchnevich
Johnston
P1
34.4%
50.1%
P2
33.7%
48.3%
P3
33.4%
48.8%
OT
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
37.1%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |