Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 54.6%). Look for Datsyuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Datsyuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.9% vs Datsyuk 54.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Datsyuk 69.4%
Defensive zone
Datsyuk 50.8%
Neutral zone
Datsyuk 57.3%
Result
Pavel Datsyuk favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Pavelski
Datsyuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Pavelski
Datsyuk
Last 8: Pavelski 2-6 Datsyuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Datsyuk
0
3
Pavelski
Datsyuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pavelski
Datsyuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Datsyuk
1
2
Pavelski
Datsyuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Datsyuk
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (682)
53.5% (533)
-0.1%
Power Play
63.7% (168)
58.9% (163)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (160)
54.7% (75)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Datsyuk has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Datsyuk shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Pavelski shoots right. Datsyuk is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Datsyuk
Home
59.0% (527)
55.4% (392)
Away
49.3% (493)
53.9% (393)
By Period
Pavelski
Datsyuk
P1
50.8%
50.2%
P2
58.9%
59.9%
P3
53.6%
53.3%
OT
42.9%
64.3%
Final 5 min
54.1%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.3%
Datsyuk
46.0%▼
55.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 2 | 04:52 | Neutral | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Nov 30, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Datsyuk |