Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 37 meetings). Datsyuk wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Datsyuk 54.4% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 54-37 in 91 meetings
Offensive zone
Datsyuk 73.3%
Defensive zone
Datsyuk 60.9%
Neutral zone
Datsyuk 62.9%
Result
Pavel Datsyuk favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Datsyuk
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
54
(91 meetings)
37
54
Datsyuk
O'Reilly
Last 10: Datsyuk 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
18
19
Datsyuk
O'Reilly
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
14
23
Datsyuk
O'Reilly
37 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
12
Datsyuk
O'Reilly
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Datsyuk
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (4,336)
56.2% (15,260)
-2.9%
Power Play
58.8% (1,120)
58.8% (3,445)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
55.8% (505)
51.4% (2,811)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Datsyuk has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Datsyuk is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,837).
Datsyuk shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Datsyuk
O'Reilly
Home
55.9% (2,962)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
53.0% (3,032)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Datsyuk
O'Reilly
P1
54.1%
55.6%
P2
54.4%
57.0%
P3
54.8%
55.1%
OT
56.2%
62.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Datsyuk
46.0%▼
55.0%
54.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 06:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 05:36 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 17:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 16:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |