Scouting Report
Christian Dvorak holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dvorak wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dvorak 55.3% vs Zacha 52.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 83.2%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 71.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 59.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Dvorak
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dvorak
Zacha
Last 6: Dvorak 2-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Dvorak
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dvorak
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
0
Dvorak
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dvorak
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (857)
54.1% (534)
+2.3%
Power Play
69.0% (29)
56.0% (109)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (174)
44.8% (96)
+5.8%
On power play, Dvorak has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Dvorak shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Dvorak
Zacha
Home
55.1% (501)
53.4% (406)
Away
56.4% (559)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Dvorak
Zacha
P1
55.8%
56.8%
P2
52.5%
53.6%
P3
58.2%
49.2%
OT
63.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |