Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.9% vs Zacha 44.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
McCann leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 70.5%
Defensive zone
McCann 53.4%
Neutral zone
McCann 64.1%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
McCann
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
McCann
Zacha
Last 10: McCann 7-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
4
1
McCann
Zacha
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
3
2
McCann
Zacha
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
McCann
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (477)
42.8% (514)
+3.7%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
51.9% (79)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (52)
36.1% (61)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. McCann is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (379).
McCann shoots left. Zacha is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
McCann
Zacha
Home
46.3% (296)
45.0% (289)
Away
46.5% (275)
41.9% (365)
By Period
McCann
Zacha
P1
49.4%
47.4%
P2
44.5%
43.8%
P3
46.0%
37.7%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.3%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 01:52 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 17:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |