Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kasper wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 45.6% vs Zacha 52.8% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 87.3%
Defensive zone
Zacha 59.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 69.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Kasper
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kasper
Zacha
Last 8: Kasper 6-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Kasper
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
4
0
Kasper
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
2
1
Kasper
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (586)
54.1% (534)
-9.0%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
56.0% (109)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
44.8% (96)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Kasper is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Kasper shoots left. Zacha is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Kasper
Zacha
Home
47.9% (280)
53.4% (406)
Away
42.5% (346)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Kasper
Zacha
P1
45.8%
56.8%
P2
50.0%
53.6%
P3
38.4%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |