Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 50.4% vs Zacha 49.1% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 17-7 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 71.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 64.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 67.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Jankowski
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
17
(24 meetings)
7
17
Jankowski
Zacha
Last 10: Jankowski 4-6 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
7
Jankowski
Zacha
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
9
Jankowski
Zacha
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (3,462)
48.9% (5,102)
+2.6%
Power Play
53.7% (95)
55.6% (804)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (528)
42.2% (555)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Jankowski is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,535).
Jankowski shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Zacha
Home
51.9% (1,940)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
49.1% (2,145)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Jankowski
Zacha
P1
50.0%
49.9%
P2
51.2%
49.2%
P3
50.2%
48.1%
OT
20.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 17:36 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 15:26 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 01:44 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:17 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 04:43 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 01:22 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |