Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bonino wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 53.9% vs Zacha 44.6% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 72.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 92.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 89.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Bonino
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Bonino
Zacha
Last 7: Bonino 6-1 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Bonino
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
0
Bonino
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
0
Bonino
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (771)
43.9% (643)
+12.5%
Power Play
60.0% (30)
48.9% (45)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (169)
37.8% (37)
+6.0%
On even strength, Bonino has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Bonino is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Bonino shoots left. Zacha is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Bonino
Zacha
Home
56.5% (531)
44.6% (397)
Away
51.7% (439)
43.0% (328)
By Period
Bonino
Zacha
P1
56.7%
43.5%
P2
48.1%
44.6%
P3
58.0%
43.8%
OT
52.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
59.2%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 10:58 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |