Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.7% vs Suter 48.6% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 65.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 56.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Zacha
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Zacha
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (646)
50.1% (357)
+3.2%
Power Play
53.0% (100)
43.8% (16)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
40.5% (79)
-1.6%
On power play, Zacha has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Zacha shoots left. Suter is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Zacha
Suter
Home
51.7% (410)
48.0% (223)
Away
52.2% (408)
48.5% (229)
By Period
Zacha
Suter
P1
57.7%
48.9%
P2
48.9%
47.3%
P3
50.2%
49.7%
OT
35.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 16:35 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |