Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Rakell 44.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 62.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 86.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 68.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Zacha
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Zacha
Rakell
Last 10: Zacha 6-4 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Rakell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
0
Zacha
Rakell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
5
3
Zacha
Rakell
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
44.4% (1,864)
+4.5%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
50.3% (197)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
21.7% (23)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Zacha shoots left. Rakell is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,334).
Home / Away
Zacha
Rakell
Home
49.7% (3,353)
46.7% (1,041)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
42.7% (1,044)
By Period
Zacha
Rakell
P1
49.9%
45.6%
P2
49.2%
42.1%
P3
48.1%
46.4%
OT
53.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 15:40 | Neutral | Rickard Rakell |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 18, 2017 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |