Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.9% vs Colton 48.1% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 68.5%
Defensive zone
Zacha 52.9%
Neutral zone
Colton 51.7%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 68.5%
31.5%
68.5%
Zacha
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zacha
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Zacha
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (497)
44.7% (76)
+9.0%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
75.0% (4)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (64)
0.0% (1)
+37.5%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Zacha is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Zacha shoots left. Colton is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Zacha
Colton
Home
51.0% (335)
42.1% (38)
Away
53.5% (310)
48.8% (43)
By Period
Zacha
Colton
P1
60.0%
50.0%
P2
48.1%
46.7%
P3
48.8%
39.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Ross Colton |