Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Colton 51.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 56.6%
Defensive zone
Colton 52.8%
Neutral zone
Colton 50.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Zacha
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Zacha
Colton
Last 8: Zacha 4-4 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
1
Zacha
Colton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Zacha
Colton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Zacha
Colton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (4,953)
51.6% (1,788)
-2.8%
Power Play
55.8% (788)
48.4% (159)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (547)
34.5% (29)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,816).
Zacha shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,283).
Home / Away
Zacha
Colton
Home
49.6% (3,278)
51.9% (1,004)
Away
48.5% (3,010)
50.2% (972)
By Period
Zacha
Colton
P1
49.9%
53.3%
P2
49.1%
52.6%
P3
47.9%
47.9%
OT
54.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:23 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 08:20 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |