Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.7% vs Couturier 53.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 59.3%
Defensive zone
Couturier 77.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 62.7%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Zacha
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Zacha
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
0
Zacha
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (646)
53.4% (758)
-0.1%
Power Play
53.0% (100)
62.9% (70)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
50.7% (227)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Zacha is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Zacha shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Zacha
Couturier
Home
51.7% (410)
50.7% (517)
Away
52.2% (408)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Zacha
Couturier
P1
57.7%
55.2%
P2
48.9%
53.0%
P3
50.2%
53.3%
OT
35.7%
42.4%
Final 5 min
48.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |