Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 44.2% vs Oshie 50.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 71.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 84.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 57.9%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Zacha
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Zacha
Oshie
Last 9: Zacha 3-6 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
6
Zacha
Oshie
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
0
Zacha
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (514)
51.7% (58)
-8.9%
Power Play
51.9% (79)
49.1% (169)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (61)
54.5% (11)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Oshie has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Zacha is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Zacha shoots left. Oshie is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Zacha
Oshie
Home
45.0% (289)
51.3% (113)
Away
41.9% (365)
48.8% (125)
By Period
Zacha
Oshie
P1
47.4%
53.8%
P2
43.8%
47.5%
P3
37.7%
51.2%
OT
66.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
39.3%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.3%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |