Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.3% vs 46.1%). Zacha wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 46.5% vs Oshie 47.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 66.8%
Defensive zone
Zacha 69.9%
Neutral zone
Oshie 58.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Zacha
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Zacha
Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (247)
48.3% (29)
-3.0%
Power Play
58.1% (31)
46.3% (149)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (18)
0.0% (2)
+22.2%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Zacha shoots left. Oshie is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Zacha
Oshie
Home
39.7% (131)
55.9% (93)
Away
49.7% (165)
35.6% (87)
By Period
Zacha
Oshie
P1
42.9%
50.9%
P2
46.4%
42.9%
P3
42.3%
43.6%
OT
87.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:53 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |