Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zacha wins 40.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 44.2% vs Nosek 50.1% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 67.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 56.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 61.8%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Zacha
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Zacha
Nosek
Last 5: Zacha 3-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (514)
51.2% (377)
-8.4%
Power Play
51.9% (79)
50.0% (10)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (61)
41.3% (46)
-5.2%
On even strength, Nosek has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Zacha is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Zacha shoots left. Nosek is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Zacha
Nosek
Home
45.0% (289)
48.3% (240)
Away
41.9% (365)
52.3% (193)
By Period
Zacha
Nosek
P1
47.4%
48.4%
P2
43.8%
51.4%
P3
37.7%
50.8%
Final 5 min
39.3%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |