Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Nosek 53.6% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 63.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 85.6%
Neutral zone
Nosek 72.2%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Zacha
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Zacha
Nosek
Last 8: Zacha 6-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
1
Zacha
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
1
Zacha
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
54.9% (2,674)
-6.0%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
44.7% (47)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
47.4% (424)
-5.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Zacha shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Zacha
Nosek
Home
49.7% (3,353)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Zacha
Nosek
P1
49.9%
52.3%
P2
49.2%
54.0%
P3
48.1%
54.6%
OT
53.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 3, 2019 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 15:10 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |