Scouting Report
Tommy Wingels holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wingels on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Zacha wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wingels shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 44.6% vs Wingels 47.0% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 76.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 64.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 61.0%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Zacha
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Zacha
Wingels
Last 9: Zacha 1-8 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wingels
1
3
Zacha
Wingels
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wingels
0
5
Zacha
Wingels
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (643)
46.6% (388)
-2.7%
Power Play
48.9% (45)
53.8% (13)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (37)
42.6% (54)
-4.8%
On power play, Wingels has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Zacha is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Zacha shoots left. Wingels is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Zacha
Wingels
Home
44.6% (397)
46.6% (191)
Away
43.0% (328)
46.2% (264)
By Period
Zacha
Wingels
P1
43.5%
49.0%
P2
44.6%
41.8%
P3
43.8%
48.3%
Final 5 min
43.4%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.9%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |