Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wingels on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Wingels 44.4% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Wingels leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Wingels 75.3%
Defensive zone
Wingels 68.4%
Neutral zone
Wingels 69.0%
Result
Tommy Wingels favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Zacha
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Zacha
Wingels
Last 10: Zacha 1-9 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wingels
1
4
Zacha
Wingels
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wingels
0
5
Zacha
Wingels
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (4,953)
44.2% (871)
+4.6%
Power Play
55.8% (788)
43.2% (74)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (547)
41.3% (109)
+0.7%
On power play, Zacha has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Zacha is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,472).
Zacha shoots left. Wingels is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Zacha
Wingels
Home
49.6% (3,278)
44.4% (462)
Away
48.5% (3,010)
43.4% (592)
By Period
Zacha
Wingels
P1
49.9%
45.1%
P2
49.1%
40.9%
P3
47.9%
46.0%
OT
54.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 01:49 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 08:53 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 09:20 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 04:59 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |