Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.3%). Look for Dellandrea on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.7% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 76.1%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 55.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 61.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Zacha
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Zacha
Dellandrea
Last 6: Zacha 1-5 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Dellandrea
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
4
Zacha
Dellandrea
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Zacha
Dellandrea
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (646)
54.1% (355)
-0.8%
Power Play
53.0% (100)
53.8% (13)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (72)
47.6% (143)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Dellandrea has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Zacha shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Zacha
Dellandrea
Home
51.7% (410)
54.3% (278)
Away
52.2% (408)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Zacha
Dellandrea
P1
57.7%
54.2%
P2
48.9%
50.6%
P3
50.2%
51.8%
OT
35.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |