Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Zacha wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Dellandrea 44.1% (+13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 81.2%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 76.0%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 56.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Zacha
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Zacha
Dellandrea
Last 6: Zacha 3-3 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
1
Zacha
Dellandrea
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Zacha
Dellandrea
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Zacha
Dellandrea
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
42.7% (143)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
39.5% (81)
+4.8%
On even strength, Zacha has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Zacha shoots left. Dellandrea is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Zacha
Dellandrea
Home
56.7% (538)
41.9% (105)
Away
52.8% (530)
41.2% (119)
By Period
Zacha
Dellandrea
P1
52.6%
44.4%
P2
54.8%
39.5%
P3
56.8%
41.4%
OT
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 11:23 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |