Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Smith 50.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 67.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 55.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 55.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Zacha
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
Zacha
Smith
Last 10: Zacha 3-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
4
Zacha
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
4
Zacha
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
4
Zacha
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
51.6% (5,265)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
51.2% (342)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
45.3% (985)
-3.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Zacha shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Zacha
Smith
Home
49.7% (3,353)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Zacha
Smith
P1
49.9%
49.9%
P2
49.2%
50.0%
P3
48.1%
51.9%
OT
53.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 02:37 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 02:20 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 18:07 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 05:44 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Zack Smith |